GBP/USD Forecast Poll
Branche Finanzdienstleistungen Aktienmarkt nicht börsennotiert. Economists had expected orders to drop by 0.
Economists had expected jobless claims to inch up to , New orders for U. The report said durable goods orders climbed by 0. Economists had expected orders to drop by 0. Reflecting significant growth in the West and Midwest, the National Association of Realtors released a report on Thursday showing an unexpected increase in U. NAR said its pending home sales index climbed by 0. The rebound came as a surprise to economists, who had been expecting pending home sales to edge down by 0.
The European Central Bank left its interest rates as well as its forward guidance unchanged on Thursday for a third consecutive policy session and reaffirmed that the its massive asset purchase program would end in December.
European Central Bank President Mario Draghi said on Thursday that policymakers were confident regarding the economy and that the inflation is gradually approaching its aim of 'below, but close to 2 percent.
He also urged the private sector to prepare for a hard Brexit, saying such an event could cause 'financial uneasiness. Germany's business sentiment weakened for the second straight month in October on geopolitical tensions, survey data from the Mannheim-based Ifo institute showed Thursday. The business climate index fell more-than-expected to The expected score was The bigger a bubble on the chart, means more participants targeting a certain price level in that particular time horizon.
This distribution also tells if there is unanimity or disparity among participants. Each participant's bias is calculated automatically based on the week's close price and recent volatility. By displaying three central tendency measures mean, median, and mode , you can know if the average forecast is being skewed by any outlier among the poll participants.
In this chart, the close price is shifted behind so it corresponds to the date when the price for that week was forecasted. This enables the comparisson between the average forecast price and the effective close price. This chart tracks the percentage change between the close prices. Bouts of volatility or extreme flat volatility can be then compared to the typical outcome expressed through the averages. This measure is basically an arithmetical average of the three central tendency measures mean, median, and mode.
It smooths the typical outcome eliminating any possible noise caused by outliers. Together with the close price, this chart displays the minimum and maximum forecast prices collected among individual participants. The result is a price corridor, usually enveloping the weekly close price from above and below, and serves as a measure of volatility.
Die Prognose-Umfrage ist ein Sentiment-Indikator , das kurz- und mittelfristige Kurserwartungen von führenden Marktexperten darstellt. Unsere einzigartige Prognose-Umfrage bietet Ihnen einen Sentiment-Indikator, der variable Kursniveaus liefert, und nicht nur die Stimmung oder die Positionierung darstellt. Trader können feststellen, ob es unter den befragten Experten Übereinstimmungen gibt - ob es sich um eine exzessive Sentiment Spekulation handelt die den Markt antreibt - oder ob es abweichende Meinungen gibt.